Now Caught in Middle of Canadian Takeover Fight : Valley Cable Seeking to Escape Troubled Past
The mistakes of the past still haunt Valley Cable TV.
Plagued until recently by unexpectedly high construction expenses, service foul-ups and other costly problems, the Chatsworth-based cable-television company has chalked up losses of roughly $60 million since opening for business in May, 1981. Those losses, in turn, have burdened Valley Cable with a hefty debt that hangs on the company like a financial albatross.
Taken together, Valley Cable’s debt and four-year history of losses have helped make the company an apparently unwanted stepchild in a Canadian corporate takeover fight, despite improvement in the company’s performance.
Two Canadian media companies are bidding for Toronto-based Standard Broadcasting, owner of Valley Cable, but each has made its acquisition offer contingent on getting an option to dump the cable-television concern.
Valley Cable “has had a rocky road,” explained Rafe Engle, president and chief executive of Selkirk Communications, one of Standard Broadcasting’s two suitors. “It’s been an experience that’s been difficult for Standard.”
The road that Valley Cable is on, however, has taken a sharp turn for the better since Standard Broadcasting gained control of the operation a year ago. The company’s list of subscribers has risen and customer complaints have fallen sharply.
Modest Financial Prospects
Valley Cable executives say that, partly because of that improvement, the company will become profitable in about two years.
But Valley Cable’s troubled past has left it with a reputation among analysts as a problem company with modest financial prospects.
Not that Valley Cable, which serves 56,800 subscribers in the western San Fernando Valley and the city of San Fernando, is an open book to the financial community. Executives at Standard Broadcasting and Hollinger Argus, Standard’s parent and Valley Cable’s corporate “grandparent,” have released relatively few financial details about the cable-television concern.
In fact, Engle said he wants the option to sell Valley Cable back to Hollinger Argus if he acquires Standard Broadcasting in part because Valley Cable’s financial status is “a mystery.”
The future ownership of Valley Cable is anyone’s guess. The cable operator could easily find itself owned directly by Hollinger Argus, or in the hands of whatever company ends up buying Standard Broadcasting. It also could be severed from the rest of Standard Broadcasting, returned to Hollinger Argus, then sold to someone else.
What is clear about Valley Cable is that it has come a long way from the days when it was troubled by construction costs and dissatisfied customers. Valley Cable suffered from a bad case of the ailments that afflict most young cable-television companies in big metropolitan areas.
Cable operators typically lose money in their first few years because they lay out large sums to build systems while taking in little revenue from subscribers.
Cable America, the Canadian company that controlled Valley Cable for its first three years, compounded the problem by agreeing to construct its system at a pace that was faster than it could afford or manage.
The new management installed by Standard Broadcasting moved quickly to turn the situation around.
Frank McNellis, Valley Cable’s general manager, said the company upgraded its service by retraining its repair crews and dispatchers. He said that, on average, a customer now only needs a service call once every two years, a sharp improvement from early 1983, when the average customer needed a service call every five months.
Statistics kept by the Los Angeles Department of Telecommunications reflect an improvement in Valley Cable’s service. Susan Herman, general manager of the department, said that based on the volume of consumer complaints, Valley Cable’s service in the first half of last year appeared to be the second-worst among the eight cable television companies that operated in Los Angeles in 1984.
Rating Improved
Valley Cable’s service rating has moved up steadily since, and Herman said it now appears to be the third-best among the 10 cable companies operating in Los Angeles. The complaints against Valley Cable tend to be about reception and billing problems, Herman said.
“We don’t have even a small percentage of the problems and calls we used to have,” said West Valley City Councilman Hal Bernson, whose district is served by Valley Cable.
At the same time, the company has been reorganized into a leaner operation. The current employment stands at 155, down from 238 two years ago. Valley Cable executives said that, by consolidating the customer service unit, they made life easier both for the company and for customers--who previously had to call one department if they had a reception problem and another department if they wanted to add a pay channel.
Average Bill $31 a Month
To raise more revenue, Valley Cable boosted its rates two months ago. For its basic 39-channel service, Valley Cable charges customers $12 monthly. But, with optional extra channels, the company’s average customer now pays about $31 monthly, about $1.60 more than before the increase.
Herman said Valley Cable’s service, one of the most extensive in Los Angeles with 48 channels carrying programs and 61 channels available in all, also is one of the city’s two most expensive.
The company plans this year to add one or two full-time channels for viewers who would pay to watch special programs, such as boxing matches. Valley Cable also might raise its rates again over the next 12 months, McNellis said. Meanwhile, the red ink continues to flow.
Despite Standard Broadcasting’s recent infusion of $19.1 million into Valley Cable to reduce its debt, interest expenses, along with depreciation and spending for equipment, will eat up Valley Cable’s operating profit this year, its first ever.
Net Loss Seen
Valley Cable projects a net loss of $13.4 million on revenue of $19.1 million during the fiscal year ending Aug. 31, compared to a net loss of $17.4 million on revenue of $16.1 million last year.
Other statistics show how the company lags slightly behind the standards set by successful cable operators.
Carl Pilnick, a Los Angeles consultant who advises cities on cable-television issues, said healthy cable-television operations after five years typically generate more than enough cash flow to cover all expenses, including interest, and frequently show a net profit. By the time Valley Cable reaches its fifth birthday next May, the company will still be losing money, but it expects to have enough or almost enough cash flow to meet all expenses.
Pilnick said successful cable firms also usually achieve a penetration rate of about 40%--meaning that they sell their service to 40% of the homes that can order it--after five years. Valley Cable, whose current penetration rate is 32%, expects to reach a 40% rate late in 1986.
“If Standard had been included from day one, I think we would have been a year further down the road,” said McNellis, who came to Valley Cable in 1983 after Standard Broadcasting made its initial investment in the cable operation but a year before it acquired full control. “We probably could have accomplished what we accomplished for millions less.”
Limited Potential
Although many companies turn a profit with a 40% penetration rate, Valley Cable executives say their company will not be profitable until it serves 43% of the homes in its market, if current patterns continue.
Some analysts say the company’s long-term potential for profits is limited.
They say that cable companies in California, and particularly in Los Angeles, typically suffer from below-average penetration in part because of the availability of many broadcast television stations. In the Los Angeles area, there are 18 broadcast television stations.
“Once you’ve got that much choice to begin with, it’s difficult to bring in other stations with something new,” Pilnick said.
The Los Angeles area is home to one of the biggest flops in the cable business, Communicom. The cable company, whose customers are concentrated in the West Los Angeles and Culver City areas, filed for protection from creditors under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code in January.
United Cable Television of Los Angeles, which has a cable franchise in the East San Fernando Valley, faces a penalty of $150,000 and additional daily fines for falling behind schedule on the construction of its system, which is yet to provide service.
Declining Expectations
Although many of the nation’s leading cable-television companies are financially healthy, the industry is in a period of declining expectations. Consumers have not taken to cable television as enthusiastically as cable entrepreneurs once expected, and products such as videocassette recorders have provided stiff competition.
All that has helped make Valley Cable, in the eyes of Canadian securities analysts, a bad company to buy.
“Standard has made some improvements, but it’s been a long time coming,” said Rex J. McCafferty, an analyst with Dominion Securities Pitfield in Toronto.
“It’s always struck analysts up here as a bizarre investment,” added James Cole of McCarthy Securities Ltd. in Toronto.
Investors have viewed Valley Cable as a liability, having more debt than assets. Analysts said Standard Broadcasting’s stock, which has moved on the Toronto Stock Exchange from around $12 (Canadian) before merger speculation began in early May to $21 when it last traded on Thursday, has been depressed at least $3 a share by Valley Cable.
Valley Cable officials, however, say that Standard Broadcasting’s recent cash infusion has made their company worth something in the marketplace by trimming its debt. But they conceded that Valley Cable might have to take much of that debt back if it is sold to Hollinger Argus, a privately held company headed by Conrad Black, a Canadian businessman well known for buying and selling big companies.
Will Probably Sell Firm
The sale of Valley Cable is considered a likely outcome of the tentative agreement calling for Hollinger Argus, Standard Broadcasting’s parent, to sell its 49% controlling interest in Standard to Slaight Communications.
Because of Valley Cable’s past problems and Slaight Communications’ relatively small size--it owns only two radio stations and a billboard company--Slaight is expected to take advantage of its option to sell Valley Cable back to Hollinger Argus.
Valley Cable “currently is looked on as a pretty serious drain,” said Allan Slaight, president of Slaight Communications. “Our bank certainly liked our getting this option.”
Slaight Communications would have plenty of time to consider the cable company. Canadian regulators are expected to take until October to decide whether to approve the acquisition of Standard Broadcasting, and Slaight Communications would have another month to exercise its sell option.
No Guarantee
But it is not guaranteed that Slaight Communications will be the buyer of Standard Broadcasting. Although Slaight Communications said it had acquired 53% of Standard Broadcasting’s stock as of last Thursday, Selkirk Communications launched a competing tender offer Friday.
Canadian media executives familiar with the bidding speculated that Selkirk Communications was trying to thwart Slaight Communications from acquiring the two-thirds interest in Standard Broadcasting that it would need under Canadian law to merge with Standard.
Slaight Communications’ offer for all of Standard Broadcasting’s 5.9 million shares is $22 (Canadian) a share, or a total of $95 million in U.S. dollars at current exchange rates. Selkirk Communications’ original offer was $24 (Canadian) a share, or $104 million in U.S. dollars. On Monday, the bid was conditionally increased to $25.
Potential Tax Benefits
Even if Slaight Communications or Selkirk Communications sells Valley Cable back to Hollinger Argus, it might not be the end of Valley Cable’s journey through the world of corporate acquisitions.
Some analysts suggest that Toronto-based Hollinger Argus would sell Valley Cable to a company with substantial U.S. interests.
That theory is based on one of Valley Cable’s main attractions for a prospective buyer, its potential tax benefits. A U.S. company could use Valley Cable’s losses and unused investment tax credits to reduce its income taxes.
On the other hand, some Hollinger Argus officials are said to feel that the worst is over for Valley Cable and that it should be held as a long-term investment.
Slaight said that, during his negotiations with Hollinger Argus, its executives have projected “a positive feeling about the future of Valley Cable.”
VALLEY CABLE TV AT A GLANCE Chatsworth--based Valley Cable TV, a subsidiary of Standard Broadcasting of Toronto, provides cable television service to 56,800 subscribers in the western San Fernando Valley and in the City of San Fernando. It has 155 employees. REVENUE For fiscal years ended Aug. 31, in millions of dollars
$0.9 1982 $7.8 1983 $16.1 1984
NET LOSS For fiscal years ended Aug. 31, in millions of dollars
1982 $10.1 1983 $18.5 1984 $17.4
VALLEY CABLE’S SUBSCRIBER GROWTH For fiscal years ended Aug. 31
1982 4,663 1983 36,400 1984 45,431 1985 61,000*
*projection
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