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NFL playoff picture: Breaking down each ‘super’ wild-card matchup

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray passes against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday.
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray passes against the Dallas Cowboys on Jan. 2. The Cardinals will visit the division-rival Rams in the playoffs next Monday night.
(Michael Ainsworth / Associated Press)
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Good news for the Arizona Cardinals — they don’t have a playoff game at home.

The Cardinals, who have lost four of their last five games, will take any silver lining they can get. And they went 8-1 on the road this season — compared with 3-5 at home — so maybe they’re a little relieved to be heading to Los Angeles for next Monday night’s playoff game against the Rams.

The Rams, meanwhile, are looking to pick up where they left off before Sunday’s loss to San Francisco, when they were riding their first five-game winning streak since 2018.

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Yes, the Rams won the NFC West, but only because the Cardinals lost at home to Seattle.

Justin Herbert did everything he could to get the Chargers into the playoffs but it wasn’t enough to overcome a determined Raiders team and its fans.

In an all-or-nothing showdown between AFC West rivals Sunday night, the Las Vegas Raiders secured a spot in the postseason with a 35-32 overtime victory over the Chargers.

So it’s Cardinals-Rams for the third time this season, with each posting victories in the home stadium of the other.

Whereas the Rams are working recuperating running back Cam Akers back into the fold — he made his season debut Sunday after tearing his Achilles tendon before training camp — the Cardinals are hoping to have defensive lineman J.J. Watt back. Watt hasn’t played since suffering a shoulder injury Oct. 24 against his former team, the Houston Texans. He returned to practice last week.

Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has a chance to collect the first playoff victory of his career. The Cardinals are back in the postseason for the first time since 2015.

In what the NFL has dubbed “Super Wild Card Weekend,” each conference will stage three first-round games, with No.1 seeds Green Bay and Tennessee getting a week off to rest.

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A look at the matchups:

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Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady passes against the Carolina Panthers on Sunday.
(Jason Behnken / Associated Press)

The last time quarterback Tom Brady faced the Eagles in the postseason was in the 2017 season, when his New England Patriots lost the Super Bowl to them.

That said, the last time Philadelphia faced Tampa Bay in the playoffs was in the 2002 wild-card round — the final game at Veterans Stadium — when the Buccaneers won and took a step closer to their eventual Super Bowl victory.

More relevant was the game these teams played in Philadelphia on Thursday in Week6, when Brady threw for two touchdowns and Leonard Fournette rushed for two in a 28-22 victory.

Since then, the Eagles have rounded into the NFL’s best rushing team. The defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers have the NFC’s best rush defense, anchored by sun-blotting defensive tackle Vita Vea.

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On one side is Brady, 44, the league’s oldest active player, and on the other is Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts, 23, who hasn’t been a great passer so far but converts a lot of third downs, many with his feet.

The Rams lost to the 49ers in overtime, but still won the NFC West because the Cardinals lost to the Seahawks. The Rams will play host to Arizona in their playoff opener.

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San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott passes against the Philadelphia Eagles.
(Julio Cortez / Associated Press)

This is a classic postseason matchup from a bygone era, and this version could be an epic ground battle.

Both teams like to pound the ball the way the 49ers did in their victory over the Rams, with San Francisco bashing its way into the playoffs.

Dallas has a fantastic centerpiece in linebacker Micah Parsons, who is not only the favorite for defensive rookie of the year but has played his way into the conversation for defensive player of the year.

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Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliott is looking more explosive after suffering a tweaked knee earlier in the season, and teammate Tony Pollard should be back after missing the finale because of a foot injury.

Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott has been inconsistent of late, although he looked terrific in the finale against a Philadelphia defense that rested its starters.

His 49ers counterpart, Jimmy Garoppolo, is playing with a bad thumb on his throwing hand, but that didn’t seem to bother him much against the Rams. He made the clutch throws when needed.

The X factor for the 49ers is versatile wide receiver Deebo Samuel.

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Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes talks with teammates before a game against the Denver Broncos.
(Bart Young / Associated Press)

Don’t have to look back too far to see how these teams compare. Two weeks ago, the Chiefs throttled the Steelers in Kansas City 36-10, building a 30-0 lead through the first 21/2 quarters.

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Pittsburgh has a porous offensive line that neither opens the running lanes nor does a good job of protecting 39-year-old Ben Roethlisberger, who is in his final season. The Steelers have a promising young back in rookie Najee Harris, but it was wideout Chase Claypool who led Pittsburgh in rushing in Sunday’s finale with 33 yards.

The Chiefs — who have reached the Super Bowl the last two seasons, winning one — are led by dynamic quarterback Patrick Mahomes and a host of receiving playmakers.

Kansas City sputtered out of the gate, losing four of its first seven games, but regained its equilibrium and wound up scoring more than 30 points in seven of its victories.

When these Steelers have pulled off big wins — including ones over Buffalo, Tennessee and Baltimore (twice) — they have tended to feast on turnovers. Pittsburgh surrendered more than 200 yards rushing four times this season yet went 2-1-1 in those games.

The Rams’ inability to beat the San Francisco 49ers shows why Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay don’t have what it takes to reach the Super Bowl.

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen celebrates a touchdown against the New York Jets.
(Jeffrey T. Barnes / Associated Press)

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The Patriots and Bills split their season series, with each team winning on the other’s home field. Both games were in December, and the first — a 14-10 win by New England — featured whipping winds and just three passes by the Patriots.

Bill Belichick collected his 19th away win against Buffalo, one short of the all-time coaching record against a single opponent. George Halas of the Chicago Bears beat the Packers 20 times on the road.

When most people think of the Bills, they think offense, and specifically fantasy football stars such as quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs. But it’s Buffalo’s defense that has carried this team, especially in recent weeks.

Buffalo finished the regular season first in scoring defense, passing defense and total defense.

Allen has struggled at times recently, but when he’s on top of his game, he is an incredibly dangerous dual threat.

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Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals

Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Hunter Renfrow, left, and Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr celebrate.
Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Hunter Renfrow, left, and quarterback Derek Carr celebrate against the Chargers on Sunday.
(Ellen Schmidt / Associated Press)

Considering the season Las Vegas has had — including the departure of disgraced coach Jon Gruden — it’s almost miraculous the Raiders are in the playoffs. But they reached the postseason for the first time since the 2016 season and are looking for their first playoff win since 2002.

The Raiders have a seasoned leader in quarterback Derek Carr and have a defense that can apply a lot of heat on quarterbacks with four rushers, dropping seven defenders into coverage.

The Bengals, who are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2015, haven’t won a postseason game since the 1990 season. They have lost eight playoff games in a row.

Cincinnati is led on offense by quarterback Joe Burrow and two tremendous wide receivers in Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase.

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