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Uruguay’s elections buck the Latin American trend, offering voters a choice between 2 moderates

A supporter of Frente Amplio presidential candidate Yamandu Orsi with a red, white and blue painted face
A supporter of Frente Amplio presidential candidate Yamandu Orsi attends a rally five days ahead of elections in Montevideo, Uruguay, on Tuesday.
(Matilde Campodonico / Associated Press)
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Voters in the small South American nation of Uruguay headed to the polls to choose a new president Sunday in a race between two moderates that defies regional trends of bitter division and democratic erosion.

The contest between Uruguay’s incumbent conservative coalition and its challenger, a center-left alliance, got underway with some 2.7 million eligible voters also casting ballots for Parliament and a contentious referendum on overhauling the social security system.

The pension vote — which would expand the fiscal deficit in one of Latin America’s wealthiest countries — has consumed more media attention in recent weeks than other top campaign issues, such as child poverty, education and security.

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With the candidates in broad agreement over many issues, no one expects the outcome of the presidential vote to herald drastic change in this nation of 3.4 million people, long considered a model democracy and bastion of stability in the region.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s election in Brazil is the latest triumph for the left, which now controls six of Latin America’s seven largest countries.

“In a way, Uruguay has been boring, but boring in this sense is very good,” said Juan Cruz Díaz, a political analyst who runs the Cefeidas consultancy group in Buenos Aires. “We’ve seen so many dramatic changes in Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Colombia and suddenly we face elections in Uruguay in which there is a general consensus, there’s stability.”

While in neighboring Brazil and Argentina, voters recently vented their rage at the status quo, Uruguay’s electorate remains largely satisfied with the government’s business-friendly policies and the economy’s steady growth. The current center-right president, Luis Lacalle Pou, enjoys a 50% approval rating.

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The presidential campaigns have played out without the vitriol or personal attacks seen elsewhere, such as the United States, Argentina or Brazil.

As constitutional term limits bar Lacalle Pou from running for a second consecutive term, the governing party’s candidate is Álvaro Delgado, 55, a congressman and Lacalle Pou’s former chief of staff, who started his career as a veterinarian.

“This government leaves us with a very solid first level to continue building the future,” Delgado said at his closing campaign rally.

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It’s one of the United States’ few enduring alliances in an often-turbulent Latin America, one built around a decades-long partnership combating the nation’s drug cartels.

His main challenger is Yamandú Orsi, 57, a center-left former mayor and history teacher with humble roots from the Frente Amplio (or Broad Front) coalition, which governed for 15 years before Lacalle Pou’s 2019 victory.

From 2005-20, Frente Amplio oversaw progressive laws, such as the legalization of same-sex marriage. Uruguay became the first country to legalize cannabis for recreational use and developed one of the world’s greenest grids, powered by 98% renewable energy.

The latest polls show Orsi in a comfortable lead at 44%, but not winning outright, which would send the country to a run-off on Nov. 24.

Orsi has benefited from the support of popular former President José “Pepe” Mujica, the eccentric former guerrilla who helped spearhead Uruguay’s transformation into the continent’s most socially liberal country during his 2010-15 presidency.

Now 89, Mujica is battling esophageal cancer, but he still managed to cast his ballot in Montevideo, the capital, on Sunday. Arriving to vote in a wheelchair, he was quickly swarmed by reporters.

“We need to support democracy, not because it is perfect, but because humans have not yet invented anything better,” he told journalists after exiting the polling station.

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Like Mujica, who lives in a modest farmhouse on the outskirts of Montevideo, Orsi says he wouldn’t live in the presidential palace if elected.

In a distant third is Andrés Ojeda, 40, a muscular and media-savvy lawyer who has tried to energize apathetic young voters with splashy campaign videos showing him lifting weights at the gym and describing himself as a classic Capricorn.

“I want to be the candidate who inspires and enthralls people,” he said at his campaign event Thursday.

He told the Associated Press that his unconventional style draws inspiration from other charismatic “leaders of the new politics” in Latin America wielding social media to amass fans, like El Salvador’s populist Nayib Bukele and Argentina’s radical libertarian Javier Milei. But he backs the ruling coalition and promises no radical change.

The electoral contest has largely focused on the rise in homicides and robberies, with the governing coalition advocating a tough-on-crime approach and the liberal coalition vowing to increase the state’s role in security matters.

Voters are also concerned about the one in five Uruguayan children living in poverty and the low rate of high school graduations.

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Tabare Vazquez promises ‘responsible changes’ to help his country, where a third of the population lives below the poverty line.

But the overlap between the party platforms has left much of the Uruguayan electorate indifferent.

“It was a presidential campaign far removed from the people that did not achieve the levels of engagement that Uruguay historically has,” said Montevideo-based political analyst Julián Kanarek.

Perhaps more pressing than the presidential race is the constitutional referendum that would overhaul Uruguay’s social security system.

If approved by more than 50% of voters, the $23-billion scheme backed by the country’s powerful leftist unions would lower the retirement age, boost payouts and transfer Uruguayans’ privately managed savings to a government-run trust.

Both leading candidates have spoken out against the proposal, which has already sent tremors through global markets. Shrugging off the fiscal consequences, supporters say it would redistribute Uruguay’s resources more fairly.

There is also a referendum on allowing nighttime police raids on homes.

Uruguayans are not obliged to vote in the plebiscites, but voting in the congressional and presidential races is compulsory.

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Batschke and Debre write for the Associated Press. Debre reported from Buenos Aires.

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