BUSH BY A MILE? Eager Democratic candidates...

BUSH BY A MILE? Eager Democratic candidates insist that George Bush is vulnerable in 1992 because of the economy. Not so, says James Doti, Chapman University president and economist. In his first political indicator poll, out today, Doti predicts that Bush will win 60% of the U.S. vote, based on weight given to critical issues. . . . “It will be Bush by a landslide,” Doti says. The economy, he says, will be more than offset by Bush’s Desert Storm success and his incumbency.

Predicting Bush

Chapman University forecasts how issues in 1992 will translate to Bush victory. Vote share Bush got in 1988: 53.9% Drop in real Gross National Product: -2.6% Drop in Consumer Price Index: +1.2% Incumbent: +3.7% War success: +3.8% Projection of Bush’s share of the vote: 60%

Source: Chapman University