Sam Farmer’s NFL picks for Week 1 of the playoffs

Today’s games N.Y. JETS AT CINCINNATI 1:30 p.m., Channel 4 Story line: Both teams have outstanding defenses and solid running games. This game comes down to who can throw the ball better. In that case, the nod goes to Carson Palmer over rookie Mark Sanchez, both USC products. And being at home doesn’t hurt Cincinnati, either. Sam Farmer’s pick: Bengals 20, Jets 13 PHILADELPHIA AT DALLAS 5 p.m., Channel 4 Story line: The Cowboys swept the season series and dominated the Eagles up front last Sunday. Still, these teams are closer in talent than they looked in that game, Philadelphia blew some sure scoring chances, and it’s very tough to beat a team three times in a season. Farmer’s pick: Eagles 24, Cowboys 20